Monday, February 2, 2009

Winning the war on terror in Afghanistan

President Obama has made the war in Afghanistan a priority, but unless he makes some major tactical and political changes he will lose. Here's why.
1. Osama bin Laden is Robin Hood. That is how much of Dar ul Islam ( The Islamic world) sees him. They do not hate the American way of life, democracy, hollywood etc enough to kill over it. They perceive America as a threat to Islam in general. Bush used to throw out platitudes about the "vast number of moderate Muslims who do not support terrorism". Muslims wonder about things we don't see. Why is an Iraqi,Iranian or Libyan nuclear bomb not permissible but an Israeli one is? Why does Georgia get US support, but not Chechnya,Why does Serbia and Croatia matter but not Bosnia. Because of religion, they think. We do not support Islamic nations. As long as we march hand in hand with Israel, sanction their version of terrorism, and supply them with the best arms, there will be terror. An unnamed Palestinian once said," Do you think we'd use suicide bombers if we had an air force?"
2. The Middle eastern regimes that theUSA supports are dictatorships, out of date monarchies and "self determination"in Iraq and Afghanistan means a non Islamic goverment.
3. The USA fumbled the beginning of the Afghan war by waiting one month before striking. Osama and his cronies had moved most their crap to the mountains by September 12th. In the late 80's and early 90's the Afghan's fought a long and victorious war against the Soviets. It produced many heros,names sung in poems, repeated in prayers. Hamid Karzai and his advisors were not there! They are expatriates who did not fight for the cause. Although Karzai is Pashtun, most of his goverment is Tajik. This means something in Afghanistan and it why Karzai is viewed as the mayor of Kabul, nothing more. The Afghans see American troops in their country as they saw Russian troops 20 years ago. We cannot win with Karzai.
4. Pakistan's maim concern is India, therefore it wants an Islamic state in Aghanistan that hates India. Number one priority here,folks, they'll take our money and weapons and put them in Kashmir. The people in the northern hills are mostly Pashtuns, the tribe that has usually dominates Afghanistan. Oh, they give us lip service,the Pakistani army, but when they move, they move very slow and only after a phone call.
Iraq, Aghanistan, just about anywhere, really doesnt want to be America. We cant,t get that thru our heads. We inherited it from the Brits, I guess. In Vietnam, I heard,"Inside every Vietnamese, there is an American trying to get out" WRONG! Some people, believe it or not don't want McDonalds, The Super Bowl, Lindsay Lohan or Walmart. Thats probably the first thing we need to learn.

To "win" the war on terror we need to rethink our policies towards the Islamic world. Really it makes sense, we need oil and they have it, so be nice. An equitable peace must be found for the Israeli-Palestinian problem, besides continued Israeli aggression. Hamas, Fatah, Hizbollah, aren't going to go away. They need to be listened to and dealt with.
And answer one question for me, please. Why is it that in the 80's an 90's they were Afghan freeom fighters and now they are terrorists. We usually define terrorist organizations as non state players. Whether we like their politics or not, most of these organizations support some kind of nationalist agenda. SO our definition is, if we like your politics you arefreedom fighters, if not youre a terrorist. Is anybody in America aware of social programs of Hizbollah?
I do not support terrorism, I was shocked by 9/11 and knew people who died there. I believe in a homeland for the Jewish people. I just don,t agree with the way the whole Middle east thing is being managed. Whoever advised President Obama that more troops will win in Afghanistan needs to read history. The key to Middle east peace is going to require some major diplomatic work to get the Israelis and Arabs on the same page.
In the end, it really is, for us. about the oil.

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